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About Policy Oracle
A Nairobi think tank and consultancy, built to be useful.
A Kenyan policy, strategy, advocacy and management systems think tank and consultancy, organised by sector.
Policy Oracle is a Nairobi policy, strategy, advocacy and management systems think tank and consultancy. We offer research, data analytics, policy development and analysis, capacity development, economics and technology governance to Kenyan institutions.
We work with national ministries and state agencies, county governments, development partners, non-governmental organisations and the private sector, and we organise our consultancy by sector, so every engagement starts from the law, policy and budget realities that govern it.
Kenya's policy environment moves quickly: a national AI strategy and an AI bill, a reformed health financing system, a new basis for sharing revenue among counties, carbon market rules and a changing agricultural regime. We help institutions read these changes early, decide with evidence and build the capability to deliver.
At a glance
- Established
- Policy Oracle Limited, registered in Kenya, 2024, with engagements delivered since 2021
- Headquarters
- Pili Trade Centre, Mombasa Road, Nairobi
- Sectors
- Technology, data and AI; climate; agriculture; devolution; public finance; health; water and sanitation; social protection; urban development
- Clients
- National ministries and agencies, county governments, development partners, NGOs and enterprise
- Delivery
- Onsite across Kenya and virtual, by project or on retainer
Our purpose
Above all, we exist to turn evidence into decisions, and decisions into results. That means being independent enough to tell clients what the data shows, practical enough to help them act on it, and committed enough to stay until the value is realised and the capability remains with the institution.
How we are organised
Senior-led work, a multidisciplinary bench.
We stay close to the work and set the standards of quality and integrity that govern every engagement.
Our team
Every engagement is led by senior practitioners and supported by an associate network assembled to match the assignment: policy specialists, economists, statisticians and data scientists, monitoring and evaluation practitioners, sector experts in health, climate, urban development and technology, and strategic communications professionals. Clients get the depth of a large firm with the focus and accountability of a dedicated team.
How we are governed
We hold high standards of probity and independence. Interests are declared openly, methods are documented so they can be scrutinised, and client information is handled with strict confidentiality. Our advice is guided by the evidence, not by what is easiest to hear.
Our approach
Five stages, each with an output you can use.
We follow a disciplined, evidence-led method that carries clients from the underlying problem to a result they can sustain. Every engagement is tailored to context, but the logic stays consistent, and each stage produces an output the client can use in its own right.
- 01
Understand
We begin with the real problem, not the presenting symptom. We map stakeholders, incentives, context and constraints, and agree with the client on the exact decision the work must serve.
- 02
Evidence
We collect and analyse robust qualitative and quantitative data, from surveys and independent field verification to administrative data, economic modelling and structured evidence review, and we document everything so the analysis can be scrutinised.
- 03
Design
We craft practical, human-centred solutions and translate them into clear policy, strategy or programme design. Priorities are mapped, trade-offs are explicit and options are costed, so decision-makers choose with their eyes open.
- 04
Deliver
We support implementation with actionable roadmaps, institutional arrangements, capacity building and knowledge systems, so the client can carry the work forward without permanent dependence on us.
- 05
Evaluate
We assess impact before and after, measure what works and what does not, and feed the learning back into better decisions. Evaluation is a source of improvement, not a compliance exercise.
Methods and tools
- Stakeholder and political-economy analysis
- Qualitative and quantitative research
- Survey and sampling design
- Independent field verification and record audits
- Remote sensing and GIS
- Econometric and statistical modelling
- Difference-in-differences and impact evaluation
- Cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analysis
- Public expenditure and fiscal analysis
- Theory of change and results frameworks
- Data analytics and visualisation
Why Policy Oracle
Independence, depth and follow-through.
- A proven track recordDelivered for national government, county governments and international development partners since 2021.
- Independent and credibleTrusted for third-party verification because our evidence is defensible and our advice is honest.
- Kenyan insight, global standardsClose knowledge of Kenyan law, institutions, counties and politics, held to international benchmarks of method and quality.
- End to endResearch, design, delivery and evaluation, without handing clients between disconnected specialists.
- A multidisciplinary benchPolicy, economics, data science, monitoring and evaluation, sector expertise and communications under one roof.
- Ahead on AI governanceA dedicated flagship practice for the question now facing every institution.
- Capability that staysWe build our clients' skills so the value outlasts the engagement.
- Flexible deliveryOnsite across Kenya and virtually, by project or on retainer.
Sector consultancy
Nine sectors, read through Kenyan law and policy.
Each sector page sets out the laws, plans, institutions and live pressures that shape decisions in Kenya, and the consultancy we offer within them.
- Technology, Data and AIAI Bill would impose risk-tiered duties
- Climate Change and EnvironmentSustaining county climate action after FLLoCA
- Agriculture and Food SystemsFertiliser subsidy integrity and targeting
- Devolution and County GovernanceCompleting the transfer of functions and resources
- Public Finance and RevenueMeeting the debt anchor without stalling services
- HealthSHA provider payments and NHIF legacy claims
- Water, Sanitation and HygieneNon-revenue water far above the benchmark
- Social Protection and InclusionStanding up the Social Protection Act, 2025
- Urban Development and HousingAllocation and delivery under the 2025 Regulations